Tried a small multiple bet for an interest today, picked these mainly based on jockeys that have been in form, there are others in good form too but I picked these. Already missed the first winner of Tudhope, Nibras Again, as I was bit late.
2:25 Beverley - Le Chiffre
2:35 Down Royal - Elizabethofaragon
3:00 Beverley - Global Exceed
4:45 Beverley - Stonific
7:55 Ripon - Kensington Art
2 winners (6/1 & 9/4) and a 2nd so far, but Global Exceed ruined the bet by finishing only 5th despite going odds on in running. Would have been better off backing as singles.
Kensington Art also wins (5/2), got 3 and half times my stake back on e/w multi. Quite pleased with how the new method performed today, 3 winners from 5 (4 from 6 if I count the one I missed) and the two losers also had a live chance in their races, over 10 points profit if backed as singles, whether it’s a fluke or there is some merit in it we will find out soon. I will give this another try tomorrow, though Saturdays are often weird days for results.
Ryan Moore, Jim Crowley and Kieran O’Neill are the jockeys I have picked out today. O’Neill May seem a strange choice as he hasn’t been riding many winners, but truth is he has got very few fancied rides lately and there are different ways of looking at form. It is Saturday today, so have to be careful as it’s very competitive, I will be happy if most of these place.
12:40 Ascot - Inveigle (3/1)
2:25 Ascot - Blue Mist (9/2) 5 places
2:40 York - Elarqam (9/4)
4:20 Doncaster - Lost In Space (7/5)
4:45 Ascot - Collinsbay (11/4)
5:30 Doncaster - Jet Set Go (7/1) 4 places
Almost a complete loss on the multiple bet, would have been only a small loss if backed as singles as Blue Mist won @ 9/2. Unlucky with a couple of others, especially Collinsbay who somehow managed to lose after going 1/33 in running, Jet Set Go also a close 2nd.
Quite a few today, need 3 of these to win to get at least my stake back, I haven’t bothered with doubles. Main stake on trebles and smaller on 4,5,6-folds and acca.
1:55 M.R. - Ferrobin
2:30 M.R. - Ballyhome
4:25 Win. - Lordsbridge Boy
4:30 M.R. - It Can Be Done
4:50 Red. - Without A Fight
5:15 Gal. - Lady Scathach
5:25 Red. Swooping Eagle
Made a slight change to the method. Lots of selections again today and most are quite short. If it’s another bad day like yesterday then I will bin this method.
3 winners but all were short prices so it’s a loss on the multiple bet. On singles it would have been about break even at early prices and small loss of 0.82 pt at SP.
LSP of +6.81 after 28 selections, but profit is down to very good first day and since then it’s been a steady decline. I might give it one more day but it looks like it’s back to the drawing board.