kempton ratings
  • brian1147
    180
    PROB column is previous form as an odds figure.
    VAL is my idea of value odds, as you see you have to look hard to
    get value bets

    NAME                 PSP   WGT   OR    RPR   RAW  BF1   BF2   PROB   RATING VAL   RESULT
exceling.............2.75..130...57....74... 80 ..3.3...3.1...2...... 79 ...3.63 ..
marsh benham.........6.5...135...62....72... 74 ..10.5..8.2...8...... 73 ...7.25 ..
bang on the bell.....7.....130...57....71... 72 ..12....NR......... 67 ...
medal of glory.......8.....135...62....73... 74 ..10....10....11.7... 73 ...9.38 ..
isobel moore.........10....130...57....67... 69 ..5.9...5.9...7.25... 71 ...7. ....
madame fenella.......11....132...59....71... 71 ..8.6...8.2...6.25... 72 ...8.63 ..
twilight bay.........11....129...56....66... 68 ..20....27....15.7... 66 ...15.5 ..
global mirage........12....126...53....72... 69 ..22....14....13..... 68 ...11.3 ..
appearing............17....133...60....72... 70 ..14....16....13.2... 70 ...12.1 ..
leaveitwithme........34....119...46....45... 56 ..100...55....15.7... 55 ...16.1 ..
three dons...........34....127...54....70... 67 ..65....70....15.7... 66 ...16.5 ..
EXCELING on probability

NAME                 PSP   WGT   OR    RPR   RAW  BF1   BF2   PROB   RATING VAL   RESULT
think trigger........3.75..135...57....59... 74 ..3.1...3.15..10.2... 75 ...8.13 ..
tenth century........4.....133...55....67... 75 ..9.6...11....9.5.... 70 ...10.8 ..
hes our star.........6.....135...57....76... 76 ..9.8...8.4...10..... 74 ...9.25 ..
dynakite.............7.....134...56....68... 72 ..7.....5.8...9...... 73 ...9.75 ..
fact or fable........8.....128...50....65... 69 ..10.5..NR....7.5.... 65 ...10 ....
makambe..............10....134...56....77... 74 ..7.2...5.1...3.75... 77 ...6.63 ..
mr mac...............15....133...55....72... 71 ..21....15....11.7... 71 ...11.1 ..
levendi..............21....131...53....65... 67 ..46....85....19..... 66 ...17.1 ..
my boy frankie.......26....131...53....72... 69 ..16....30....16..... 69 ...11.7 ..
dylans ruby..........41....124...46....44... 57 ..120...200...20.5... 56 ...19.5 ..
purple paddy.........41....124...46....69... 65 ..36....44....14.7... 65 ...15.8 ..
MAKAMBE would be my choice

NAME                 PSP   WGT   OR    RPR   RAW  BF1   BF2   PROB   RATING VAL   RESULT
dark design..........2.5...133...55....73... 82 ..3.1...NR....... 69 ...
lake sand............4.5...135...57....69... 75 ..7.2...5.7...6.5.... 74 ...6.5 ...
agent of fortune.....5.....134...56....68... 74 ..4.7...2.7...2.5.... 80 ...3.75 ..
rivers lad...........10....132...54....66... 69 ..18....11.5..9.25... 69 ...8.88 ..
too shy shy..........11....133...55....72... 71 ..6.8...6.6...7.75... 73 ...6.13 ..
pedestal.............17....124...46....67... 66 ..19.5..11.5..8.75... 67 ...9.75 ..
purple poppy.........17....125...47....64... 65 ..29....20....14.2... 65 ...13.3 ..
daafy................21....130...52....72... 69 ..18....12.5..12..... 70 ...12.6 ..
chetan...............34....131...53....66... 67 ..50....44....14..... 66 ...13.3 ..
mammasaidknockuout...34....134...56....71... 69 ..48....38....13.7... 69 ...12.8 ..
AGENT OF FORTUNE even allowing for the NR, the odds are in his favour

NAME                 PSP   WGT   OR    RPR   RAW  BF1   BF2   PROB   RATING VAL   RESULT
sydney street........3.25..133...85....92... 85 ..2.96..2.94..2.25... 86 ...3.38 ..
new shepard..........3.75..120...72....93... 80 ..4.1...3.9...5.75... 80 ...5.88 ..
poet.................5.....126...78....93... 80 ..5.5...7.8...5.75... 77 ...5.25 ..
amanda hugnkiss......6.....126...78....96... 80 ..12.5..8.4...7.75... 78 ...8.38 ..
american kestrel.....13....126...78....91... 75 ..16.5..19....11.5... 74 ...10.6 ..
ellade...............13....127...79....94... 76 ..27....32....12..... 75 ...11.8 ..
fozzie bear..........17....124...76....93... 74 ..11....10....11..... 76 ...9.38 ..
I think I would mark FAV. for this race

NAME                 PSP   WGT   OR    RPR   RAW  BF1   BF2   PROB   RATING VAL   RESULT
tranquil night.......2.37..131...00....89... 87 ..1.89..1.77..2.25... 92 ...2.5 ...
montesecco...........3.25..131...00....00... 54 ..7.4...9.4...7.5.... 47 ...8.13 ..
naranco..............5.....131...00....00... 50 ..5.....4.2...8.5.... 52 ...7. ....
sharac...............7.....126...00....00... 47 ..12.5..24....8.5.... 43 ...7.75 ..
mekbat...............13....131...00....71... 70 ..14.5..20....6.75... 69 ...7.75 ..
fellowship...........21....131...00....00... 45 ..34....34....11.7... 45 ...10.8 ..
twilight tone........41....131...00....00... 44 ..75....95....13..... 44 ...13.8 ..
the prince...........51....131...00....43... 59 ..150...200...12.5... 58 ...13.8 ..
circle time..........67....131...00....64... 65 ..250...250...13.5... 65 ...13.6 ..

NAME                 PSP   WGT   OR    RPR   RAW  BF1   BF2   PROB   RATING VAL   RESULT
famille rose.........1.66..124...73....100.. 95 ..1.67..1.66..2...... 95 ...2. ....
epsom faithfull......5.5...127...76....95... 80 ..7.....6.4...5.5.... 79 ...5.63 ..
cry havoc............6.....133...82....94... 81 ..7.4...7.6...5.75... 80 ...5.5 ...
sealed offer.........10....119...68....93... 74 ..10....11....8.75... 74 ...7.63 ..
piselli molli........15....120...69....94... 74 ..20....20....8...... 73 ...8.75 ..

NAME                 PSP   WGT   OR    RPR   RAW  BF1   BF2   PROB   RATING VAL   RESULT
bella colorossa......2.75..131...45....62... 76 ..4.6...2.82..5.25... 76 ...4.38 ..
reset button.........4.....126...49....68... 73 ..2.72..3.95..3.5.... 73 ...4.63 ..
capricorn prince.....6.....134...50....62... 71 ..12.5..13....8...... 68 ...9.5 ...
dew you believe......10....126...47....66... 67 ..10....9.4...9.5.... 68 ...9.13 ..
star of epsom........10....126...50....67... 68 ..9.2...10....9.25... 68 ...8.75 ..
intoxication.........11....126...45....61... 65 ..13.5..19....11.2... 64 ...10.8 ..
the worthy brat......11....129...50....61... 66 ..8.....9.4...10.7... 67 ...9.75 ..
gabster..............41....129...44....46... 59 ..80....130...15.5... 59 ...17.3 ..
savoy brown..........41....129...44....00... 44 ..75....180...18.2... 43 ...17.5 ..
makter...............67....129...44....61... 64 ..250...250...21.2... 63 ...19 ....
scarlet ruby.........67....129...48....48... 59 ..110...110...18..... 59 ...18.2 ..
RESET BUTTON  would seem to have the best form

NAME                 PSP   WGT   OR    RPR   RAW  BF1   BF2   PROB   RATING VAL   RESULT
this ones for fred...2.5...133...62....67... 80 ..3.15..3.8...4.5.... 75 ...4.25 ..
metal man............2.75..133...57....69... 79 ..2.7...2.66..2.75... 80 ...3.38 ..
pentimento...........7.....130...54....71... 72 ..7.6...6.2...6.75... 72 ...5.88 ..
liva.................8.....132...56....70... 72 ..7.....6.....6...... 73 ...6.88 ..
scherbobalob.........13....127...56....62... 66 ..17....23....10.5... 64 ...9.38 ..
ulysses..............41....133...57....56... 64 ..NR....NR....11.5... 63 ...11.6 ..
    brian1147 Options
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