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brian1147

Thought i would revive an old program i used a few years ago, it's taking a
lot of modifying due to sights using different formats.But here goes.
There was about 30 2yo races (at least £50000 prize money) last season, i'm
hoping to put them all up over the coming month (nought else happening).
The centre of distribution chart(CD) was put up by nick morden a few years
You can get an explaination at pedigreequery.com about dosage figures.
I'm hoping this will show the top 2yo's optimum distance.

5.5f 0.84
6f 0.90
6.5f 0.84
7f 0.83
8f 0.70
8f70y 0.73
8.5f 0.69
9f 0.65
9.5f 0.56
10f 0.57
11f 0.45
12f 0.42

ascot value £85065 dist 1320yds 
FINI..NAME................btn.....CD
1st...arizona.............0.......0.56
2nd...threat..............0.5.....0.21
3rd...guildsman...........0.75....0.19
4th...fort myers..........1.75....0.26
5th...golden horde........1.81....0.42
6th...ropey guest.........2.31....0.29
7th...royal lytham........3.56....0.38
8th...maxi boy............3.69....0.08
9th...well of wisdom......3.94....0.47
10th..kuwait direction....4.......0.71
11th..makyon..............4.5.....0.78
12th..lord of the lodge...5.5.....0.45
13th..king of athens......6.......0.21
14th..majestic sands......6.5.....0.54
15th..light angel.........7.5.....0.5
16th..monoski.............8.75....0.45
17th..coase...............10.75...0.39

ARIZONA(IRE) in touch centre- ridden and headway over 1f out- ran on to lead towards finis
COASE chased stand side leader- ridden and weakened over 1f ou
FORT MYERS(USA) tracked leaders stand side- ridden and headway over 1f out- switched left entering final furlong- ran on
GOLDEN HORDE(IRE) tracked leader centre- effort over 1f out- one pace final furlon
GUILDSMAN(FR) in touch centre- ridden and headway 2f out- every chance inside final furlong- ran o
KING OF ATHENS(USA) slow into stride towards rear- never on term
KUWAIT DIRECTION(IRE) held up centre- ridden 2f out- never a facto
LIGHT ANGEL in touch stand side- ridden and weakened over 1f ou
LORD OF THE LODGE(IRE) in rear stand side- never on term
MAJESTIC SANDS(IRE) tracked leader centre- ridden and every chance 2f out- weakened final furlon
MAKYON(IRE) raced stand side- overall leader- ridden over 1f out- headed inside final furlong- no extr
MAXI BOY in rear centre- ridden and headway over 1f out- no impression final furlon
MONOSKI(USA) led centre group- ridden and every chance when groups merged 2f out- weakened final furlon
ROPEY GUEST towards stand side- ridden over 2f out- ran on final furlong- nearest finis
ROYAL LYTHAM(FR) tracked stand side leader- ridden 2f out- kept on same pac
THREAT(IRE) towards rear stand side- headway when groups merged 2f out- ridden to lead inside final furlong- headed
WELL OF WISDOM close up centre- ridden over 1f out- weakened final furlon

AKD

Excellent thread, Brian, thanks for your hard work in putting this together. I use the dosage method for top races like Derby and Guineas etc but not all races, I will refer back to your thread for other races too. The way I use dosage figures for big races is, I look at CD of last 10 or 12 winners and find the median and back horses that are close to this figure, this method used to work very well for Derby but hasn’t done so well in recent years as some with very low CD have won the race, I think the last Derby winner with above 0.40 CD was Sea The Stars.

Thanks again, I love threads like this.

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