Late decision on a bet, wasn't sure about backing this one but the race has cut up badly with most of the form horses out. I think this one has a chance, would have preferred to back each way but not an e/w price so decided to back just half point win.
Yet to win in 9 starts but has only had a couple of runs this season so still possibility of improvement. 7 lengths 3rd of 16 behind More Info at Kilbeggan on 2nd last run but is 9 lbs better off now so good chance of turning it around. Only 6th of 16 last time but it looked a competitive race and form has worked out well with 2nd, 5th & 8th winning 4 races between them since then.
Well Polly finished 2nd in the race last year from 1 lb higher, but has shown very little so far this season. Most of other remaining runners are also out of form.
My initial feeling was right that she was more of a place chance. Flemensreva backed down to 3/1 fav, no match for clear winner but stayed on through beaten horses to grab 2nd which was no good for me.