The fav is short enough here and doesn't look like a good thing to me. HD hasn't won for 8 races but the last 2 efforts have seen him be very competitive with solid G1 horses. I think to win the horse needs a flat galloping track and easy ground, a good draw and a top jockey on board. He gets all those today so I expect him to make the running from stall 3 and then its a case of is he good enough to hold on.
CHA 3:00
Backing LONE EAGLE ew @ 18// @ William Hill
Needed run when beaten odds-on fav in race won by Third Realm but has strong form vs Hurricane Lane when beaten a neck in last year's Irish Derby. Will ridden close to the pace, has shown better form on softer than good ground, so with SDS in the saddle can go very close at a price.