BEST of the BETS

Bet 21

Cuban Sun (3:15 Catterick)

LSP: -10.47

Wins: 2/1, 8/15, 4/1

3:15 Catterick - with a rating of 122, Ashutor ought to win this but can’t really have a horse at odds of 4/11 that has finished 2nd four times from its 7 runs, so I am taking him on hoping one of the others can improve enough. CUBAN SUN won a handicap on flat (OR 67) for James Given, and showed promise on hurdling debut when finishing 2nd in a juvenile hurdle at Doncaster behind Fantastic Ms Fox, but was very disappointing when well beaten behind same horse and at same course upped to Listed class, she reportedly lost her shoe. She needs to bounce back and also needs to improve on her first run, but hopefully the weight allowances she gets will help, trainer Kelly Morgan has a good record in maiden hurdles - pu 66/1, unp 200/1, won 7/2, 3rd 9/4, won 15/8, 2nd 14/1, 2nd 10/1 (this horse), won 11/2 - so good run from all except the two big outsiders. Be Thankful ran well on hurdling debut for Martin Keighley when finishing 4th of 13 @ 100/1, she should improve and run well and has good chance of finishing in first 3, but there are only 6 runners.

Selection - Cuban Sun @ 13/2

Good luck.

yes, Doubler. His next two lost, we may have missed the boat as far as his recent good spell is concerned, but worth keeping an eye on them this year as he is a trainer on the up. Only 12 winners in 2017, 21 in 2018, 28 in 2019, already has 12 winners this year.

Thanks Fuzzy.

Correction to LSP, forgot to take out the losing stake doh.

LSP: -14.97 (win), -13.66 (place)

Thanks Doubler. Antony Brittain stable is in red hot form, 6 winners from last 7 runners, all at good prices. That’s really something for a stable that had 25+ winners in a year for first time last year, they will surely go past that this year.

LSP: -14.47 (win), -13.16 (place)

Bet 20

Look Surprised (6:30 Wolverhampton)

LSP: -9.47

Wins: 2/1, 8/15, 4/1

Unplaced.

LSP: -17.03 (win), -13.69 (place)

6:30 Wolverhampton

Mutabaahy @ 6/1
Look Surprised @ 8/1

0.5 pt on each

Good luck.

Bet 19

Mandalayan (4:00 Wolverhampton)

LSP: -8.47

Wins: 2/1, 8/15, 4/1

4:00 Wolverhampton - MANDALAYAN is only 1 from 19 but has run ok on all 4 runs in novice/maiden hurdles and I think he has a good chance in this jumpers’ bumper. Warren Greatrex is 10 from 54 (+15 LSP) in these races. Paul Nicholls has an ok record in these races, but it is shockingly bad when they are favourite, just 1 winner from 22 favourites (7 of them odds on) for Nicholls in these bumpers so I am prepared to oppose the favourite. Neil King does very well in these races, but his runner Canyon City is a 3 mile winner so may find this too sharp.

Among the trainers that have runners at Wolverhampton today, Paul Webber, Neil King & Brian Ellison have the best records in these races, so their runners maybe worth considering.

Selection - Mandalayan @ 7/4

Good luck.

Nice placer.

Clearly lacked fitness, always struggling and pulled up. That was the risk.

LSP: -16.03 (win), -12.69 (place)

Bet 18

St Erney (4:20 Exeter)

LSP: -7.47

Wins: 2/1, 8/15, 4/1

Devon National (4:20 Exeter) - this looks a strong renewal of the race, and is made more competitive by the fact that a lot of these have got very good records in heavy going so you can make a case for several of these. I have taken a chance on an outsider even though I have doubts about fitness. ST ERNEY has only had 3 runs, two of them here at Exeter, ran well on both occasions, finishing 10 lengths 3rd behind Lil Rockerfeller in a novice chase on debut and then a battling win in a good handicap in March. Both those wins were around 3 miles but he looked like he will stay further so I don’t think distance will be a problem. Main doubt is the fitness, as he hasn’t run for almost a year, and in such a competitive race that could be a problem. I will be happy if he can just get placed.

Selection - St Erney @ 25/1 (most bookies offering 4 places)

Good luck.

Unfortunately, Little Light only 3rd behind the easy winner.

LSP: -15.03 (win), -11.69 (place)

Wow, Miss Heritage couldn’t have won it any more easily, very well backed too, so maybe that’s the one they wanted today. Hoping they can do a double but I had enough on this to cover my main bet and more.

Shall We Go Now
Fugitives Drift
Skylanna Breeze
Tequila Blaze
Cave Top
Miss Heritage
LITTLE LIGHT (Nap)

Thanks.

Bet 17

Little Light (4:41 Huntingdon)

LSP: -6.47

Wins: 2/1, 8/15, 4/1

4:41 Huntingdon - risky selection as I am going against the two last time out winners by backing the outsider of four LITTLE LIGHT. She is not the most consistent but enjoys these conditions and may still have some improvement after just 4 runs for her new stable, she won one of those 4 races at Leicester but has been disappointing on other 3 runs, including when beaten 50 lengths here in November which is the biggest negative for me. That was over 2 and half miles, and also before she had the wind operation, so I am hoping that will make the difference. Lucy Wadham does very well this time of year, and could just be coming into form after a winner in past week. She runs two today, this one and Miss Heritage in 4:11 race (I am having a little bet on that one too) and I think there is a good chance she will get one winner today. Ibleo for in-form Venetia Williams is a big danger.

Selection - Little Light @ 5/1

Good luck.

Arghhh, saw this earlier and was going to back it, then got busy with something else and completely forgot about it.

Well done again, you are most consistent.

Gave it a good go, trading as short as 1.27 in running, no complaints just got beaten by a good horse, pair miles clear of the rest.

LSP: -14.03 (win), -10.69 (place)