Comments

  • Race pricing effort
    I noticed that my tissue and yours, both add up to roughly 115%.
    i've adjusted this one to a 100% book (app).
    the value would seem to be minellatillmorning but the ratings and class would make
    me follow my tissue.

    NAME                 PSP   WGT   TS    RPR   RAW  BF1   BF2   CLASS  RATING VAL 
cracking destiny.....3.5...152...18....132.. 104 .2.76*.2.88*.4.6.... 105 ..5.3  ..
spring wolf..........4.....154...00....129.. 103 .5.3*..5.4*..15.83.. 104 ..5.9  ..
railroad junkie......5.....161...36....131.. 104 .NR....NR....7.33... 105 ..NR
midnight chill.......6.....162...33....134.. 104 .4.7...4.7...11.04.. 105 ..4.9  ..
cigarisi.............7.5...151...31....00... 55 ..8.6x..8.4x..4.44... 56 ...9.6  ..
minellatillmorning...11....152...17....00... 54 ..12....11.5..9.66... 55 ...5.7  ..
drops of jupitor.....26....151...00....123.. 93 ..19x...22x...5.75... 94 ...8.1  ..
legend lady..........34....149...00....00... 51 ..75x...60x...11.06.. 52 ...24.5  .
  • Race pricing effort
    made even tighter by the non runner
    will print the fuller version later.
    taunt,name.........................tissue
15:15,Midnight Chill............4.46 
15:15,Railroad Junkie, nr
15:15,Spring Wolf...............5.33
15:15,Minellatillmorning.. ...5.25
15:15,Cracking Destiny.......4.8 
15:15,Drops Of Jupitor.... ...8.4 
15:15,Cigarisi......................8.6
15:15,Legend Lady......... ...21
  • Race pricing effort
    Was looking at the 3.15 taunton for tomorrow, 8 runners, sp's look evenly matched.
    inspect 7.30, should be safe though.
  • Race pricing effort
    will do.
  • Race pricing effort
    Not really a race i would get involved in, much prefer around the 8runner mark(3 places).
    But here goes my idea of the winner would be POETS PRIDE , but the value has gone,
    the possible value would be pearl acclaim the trainers rtf figure (TS) is not good (one but
    is enough to put me off.
    Have tagged on AKD's prices,hope you don't mind'.

    NAME                 PSP   WGT   TS    RPR   RAW  BF1   BF2   CLASS  RATING BRIAN  AKD
first excel..........6.....135...67....78... 77 ..6.....5.7...0...... 78 ...13.6  .12
poets pride..........6.....132...50....76... 75 ..8.8...6.2...6.15... 76 ...8.7  ..26
the golden cue.......6.....131...00....78... 75 ..7.....8.8...4.2.... 76 ...7.2  ..9.5
fly true.............8.....118...50....75... 69 ..9.8...7.4...6.65... 70 ...10.5  .8
kommander kirkup.....8.....134...00....79... 75 ..15.5..16....1.98... 76 ...11.8  .10
liamba...............8.....128...53....79... 73 ..NR*...NR*...5.13... 74 ...16.4  .NR
muatadel.............9.....132...85....79... 74 ..5.6x..7.8x..5.9.... 75 ...9.7  ..12
pearl acclaim........9.....133...27....80... 75 ..14....16....5.56... 76 ...12.3  .7.5
capla demon..........15....134...54....79... 73 ..11....14....6.16... 74 ...15  ...11
newstead abbey.......17....129...33....79... 71 ..18....15.5..1.59... 72 ...17.4  .11
coiste bodhar........21....114...31....71... 63 ..60....48....3.67... 64 ...14.6  .26
major crispies.......26....130...100...77... 70 ..50....38....2.15... 71 ...14.6  .51
sir geoffrey.........41....114...31....76... 64 ..65x...60x...1.07... 65 ...12.3  .15
interchoice star.....51....114...00....63... 60 ..170x..270x..0.36... 61 ...21.4  .9
  • UK TTC @ SANDOWN PARK (Sat 2 Feb)
    12.40 beaufort west
    1.15 gino trail
    1.50 buveur d'air (nap)
    2.25 defi du seuil
    3.00 ballymoy
    3.35 belami des pictons
    4.10 juge et parti
  • Race pricing effort
    A major gamble would seem to be taking place on DISTANT MIRAGE, so i think
    the prices will be fairly bigger than they should be.
    That said xtara on ratings and class would have been my value bet.

    NAME                 PSP   WGT   TS    RPR   RAW  BF1   BF2   CLASS  RATING VAL  
probability..........2.5...133...57....84... 86 ..2.22..3.25..7.59... 87 ...4.7  ..
xtara................5.5...137...40....79... 78 ..5.9...6.....15.12.. 79 ...4.2  ..
distant mirage.......6.....126...80....82... 75 ..6.8...3.1...7.4.... 76 ...8  ....
zaula................7.....130...57....76... 73 ..8.8...9.6...6.57... 74 ...6.9  ..
urban highway........9.....123...56....80... 71 ..9.8...13.5..6.54... 72 ...8  ....
haats off............17....127...80....76... 70 ..29....28....7.35... 71 ...10.4  .
lysander belle.......17....117...25....82... 68 ..42*...44*...5.97... 69 ...13.2  .
under curfew.........21....128...56....80... 71 ..60....40....2.42... 72 ...8  ....
  • Race pricing effort
    cheers AKD, would be nice if HIPPO was to put a race up, for comparison.
  • Race pricing effort
    sorry posted the wrong one the race, now looks like this.

    NAME                 PSP   WGT   TS    RPR   RAW  BF1   BF2   CLASS  RATING VAL  
wings of time........3.25..119...100...73... 74 ..2.04..1.78..6.55... 84 ...4.8  ..
reggae runner........3.75..119...47....84... 77 ..8.....9.6...6.32... 72 ...6.1  ..
solar heights........4.....114...78....90... 76 ..3.95..5.....8.13... 75 ...5.7  ..
perfect grace........9.....114...61....85... 70 ..21....NR....6.62... 67 ...5.1  ..
ardimento............13....119...25....83... 70 ..13.5..9.2...3.11... 72 ...10.2  .
golden grenade.......13....119...28....00... 42 ..38....36....0.91... 41 ...19.5  .
atlantic city........21....119...50....00... 41 ..30....NR....5...... 40 ...10.6  .
thedevilinneville....26....119...50....73... 65 ..46....55....4.52... 65 ...6.3  ..
  • UK TTC @ LINGFIELD (FRIDAY 1st FEBRUARY)
    1.45 indiscretion
    2.20 loyalty
    2.55 waters edge (nap)
    3.25 watersmeet
    3.55 key to power
    4.30 c note
  • Race pricing effort
    my efforts look like this,
    reggae runner and perfect grace would seem to be the value in mine.

    NAME                 PSP   WGT   TS    RPR   RAW  BF1   BF2   CLASS  RATING VAL 
wings of time........3.25..119...100...73... 74 ..2.04..2.04..6.55... 81 ...4.8  ..
reggae runner........3.75..119...47....84... 77 ..8.....8.....6.32... 73 ...6.1  ..
solar heights........4.....114...78....90... 76 ..3.95..3.95..8.13... 77 ...5.7  ..
perfect grace........9.....114...61....85... 70 ..21....21....6.62... 69 ...5.1  ..
ardimento............13....119...25....83... 70 ..13.5..13.5..3.11... 71 ...10.2  .
golden grenade.......13....119...28....00... 42 ..38....38....0.91... 41 ...19.5  .
atlantic city........21....119...50....00... 41 ..30....30....5...... 41 ...10.6  .
thedevilinneville....26....119...50....73... 65 ..46....46....4.52... 65 ...6.3  ..
  • UK TTC @ NEWCASTLE (THURSDAY 31st JANUARY)
    4.05 trautman
    4.40 mansfield
    5.15 one one seven
    5.50 another angel
    6.25 portledge
    7.00 eve harrington (nap)
    7.30 lion hearted
    8.00 roaring rory
  • UK TTC @ LINGFIELD PARK (Wed 30 Jan)
    1.50 bobby biscuit
    2.20 simple thought
    2.50 treasure me
    3.20 catapult
    3.50 scorched breath (nap)
    4.20 chicago school
  • UK TTC @ NEWCASTLE (Tues29th Jan)
    1.20 another theatre
    1.55 arthur mac
    2.30 takingrisks
    3.05 silk or scarlet
    3.35 mumgos debut (nap)
    4.05 rouge vif
  • ratings explained
    last for this month
    wolverhampton

    NAME                 PSP   WGT   TS    RPR   RAW  BF1   BF2   CLASS  RATING VAL  
american graffiti....1.5...128...100...89... 95 ..1.54..1.54..7.77... 95 ...2.7  ..
william mckinley.....6.5...128...100...00... 48 ..5.9...5.9...5.48... 49 ...5.2  ..
red bond.............7.....128...50....82... 75 ..6.6...7.2...4.66... 75 ...5.4  ..
al daayen............10....123...53....00... 44 ..29....32....0...... 42 ...7.9  ..
shaleelas dream......15....128...38....00... 45 ..65....44....5.13... 44 ...9.3  ..
cardano..............21....128...43....00... 44 ..48....46....5.13... 44 ...8.5  ..
redemptress..........101...123...20....37... 54 ..260...270...4.7.... 54 ...18.1 ..
  • UK TTC @ LUDLOW (Mon 28 Jan)
    1.45 scaramanga
    2.20 longhousesignora
    2.55 lough derg spirit (nap)
    3.25 ashutor
    4.00 mistress massini
    4.30 supakalanistic
  • ratings explained
    Only one today, taking the bf early price.

    NAME                 PSP   WGT   TS    RPR   RAW  BF1   BF2   CLASS  RATING VAL  
pym..................1.66..162...63....141.. 121 .1.6...1.65..7.4.... 122 ..3.8  ..
manvers house........6.....155...38....131.. 101 .5.5...5.4...3.79... 103 ..11.9  .
joyrider.............7.....155...62....00... 56 ..13.5..17.5..7.06... 54 ...6.4  ..
mystical clouds......11....162...65....128.. 100 .26....24....7.74... 99 ...6.1  ..
the cashel man.......11....155...63....00... 55 ..11.5..12....6.75... 55 ...5.9  ..
northern bound.......15....162...59....117.. 95 ..44....30....5.03... 95 ...11.1  .
dreyfus..............26....155...60....117.. 92 ..120...150...7.34... 92 ...10.7  .
ablaze...............101...148...14....105.. 85 ..250...650...5.23... 85 ...15.5  .
hugos reflection.....101...155...30....105.. 87 ..280...250...5.73... 88 ...16.3  .
  • Experimenting with trading
    i'm not what you might call a seasoned trader, but when i started i went for 25%
    reduction. even now i'm not near 50%
    this arb calc may be useful.

    http://www.chromaweb.com/bets/calculator/
  • ratings explained
    managed to trade 1.72
  • Experimenting with trading
    A site you might find helpfull.

    https://www.winningwarlock.com
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